Working analysis · May 2026

Why Troy School District is in a structural deficit

The Board has identified $12 million in reductions as the FY27 target to restore structural balance and rebuild fund balance to 15%. The deficit is not a Covid hangover alone — it is the cumulative result of four structural shifts visible in the audited financials. Here is what the Board's own presentations and the audited ACFRs show.

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1. The deficit math

The FY25-FY26 General Fund budget has been amended twice. Each amendment has expanded expenditures and reduced the projected fund balance percentage from the 15.05% originally adopted by the Board in June 2025 to 13.59% under March 2026 Amendment #2.1

General Fund: revenue, expenditures, and fund balance %, FY26 Original through FY27 Assumptions
Each amendment reduced fund balance below the 15% target. FY27 Assumptions (right) show the trajectory back to 15.01% — which the Board's $12M reduction plan is designed to achieve.
Source: Board of Education Regular Meeting, March 17, 2026 — "Budget Amendment #2" presentation (Trudel, p. 3 & p. 6); cross-validated against the Board of Education Workshop, January 13, 2026 — "Budget Amendment #1" presentation (p. 7). Amendment #2 deck · Amendment #1 deck.

The March 17, 2026 Amendment #2 presentation states the targets explicitly: structural balance and a 15% fund balance. To get there, the Board has set a $12 million reduction target for FY27, with cuts spread across four categories: salaries & benefits, purchased services, departmental adjustments, and discretionary spending.1

The Board's January 13, 2026 Budget Planning workshop offers important state-funding context for why the FY26 amendments have been needed:2

  • FY25 categorical funding of $5,055,278 (Section 147a(4)) was, per the Board's own language, "essentially one-time money" that does not roll into the FY26 foundation allowance.
  • FY26: the state eliminated Section 147a(1) "at the last minute" (-$1,007,246).
  • FY26: pension UAAL expenditures for districts reduced 5.75%, but healthcare premium subsidy expenditures rose 2.58% and pension normal cost expenditures rose up to 1.72%.
  • The Board's summary: "Retirement and health-care costs once covered by State have been shifted to the employer."

The March 17 presentation also documents the Board's formal Budget Reduction Rubric & Scoring system — a six-criteria weighted framework (Impact on Student Learning, Equity Impact, Legal/Compliance Risk, Cost Savings Amount, Feasibility/Timeline, Stakeholder Support) used to rank candidate reductions as Tier 1 (Strong Candidate), Tier 2 (Consider), or Tier 3 (High Risk).1

Areas under Board consideration for reductions:1

  • Positions not directly connected to the classroom
  • Maximizing adult-to-student ratios and contract allowances
  • Realignment of administrative and support staffing

Final RIF targets and FY26-27 budget adoption come at the June 2026 Regular Meeting.1

13.59%1
Fund balance % under Amendment #2 (vs. 15% target; was 15.05% at original adoption)
$12M1
Board-stated FY27 reduction target
95%2
Share of the General Fund that is "people" (salaries + benefits), per the Board's own framing
$206.8M1
FY26 Amendment #2 expenditures, vs. $194.3M at original adoption ($12.5M added across two amendments)
Sources for this section
  1. Board of Education Regular Meeting, March 17, 2026 — "Amendment #2" presentation (Dan Trudel, CPA, Assistant Superintendent of Business Services; 15 slides). Presented under agenda item 5.D, "Budget Amendment #2." Contains the FY26 fund balance trajectory across Original → Amendment #1 → Amendment #2 (p. 3); the FY27 Assumptions table (p. 6); "Budgetary Challenges" framing (p. 7); the "Budget Priorities" page (p. 8); the "Reduction Targets" page (p. 9) with the explicit $12 million target and the four-category cut composition; the Budget Reduction Rubric & Scoring system (p. 11); Proposed Reductions areas (p. 12); and the Proposed Budget Timeline showing April Workshop reduction recommendations and June Regular Meeting final RIF targets (p. 14). View Amendment #2 board presentation.
  2. Board of Education Workshop, January 13, 2026 — "Budget Amendment #1" presentation + "Board Budget Planning" workshop (Dan Trudel, CPA; two decks, 13 + 6 slides). The Amendment #1 deck contains the FY26 Original vs. Amendment #1 General Fund table (p. 7) and the "MPSERS Updates Fiscal Year 2025 / 2026" pages (pp. 5-6) which disclose the elimination of 147a(1) and the explicit pension UAAL reduction (5.75%), healthcare premium subsidy growth (2.58%), and pension normal cost growth (up to 1.72%). The Board Budget Planning workshop contains the "Amendment #1 - Takeaways" page (slide 2) — including the assertion that the state-funding shift represents "$5 Million one-time funding replaced with $5.5 Million foundation increase" and the conclusion "Costs for TSD will continue to increase" — and the Budget Priority Talking Points (slide 3) including the "95% of budget is people" framing and "Reductions through attrition where feasible" as the preferred approach. Amendment #1 deck · Board Budget Planning workshop deck.
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Filter time-series charts: to Applies to charts in Sections 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 9

2. What actually grew, FY15-FY25

Cost growth at TSD has been steady and structural, not Covid-shock-and-recover. The FY25 Annual Comprehensive Financial Report — audited by Plante Moran and accepted by the Board on November 18, 2025 — contains a ten-year statistical section covering FY16-FY25; combined with the prior-year FY24 ACFR it lets us see the full arc from FY15 forward.1

The single cleanest measure is operating cost per student. It grew from $10,924 in FY15 to $15,624 in FY25 — a 43% increase over ten years, with the steepest acceleration FY20→FY25 (about 5.4% per year compounded over the latter half).1 Enrollment over the same span moved 12,563 → 12,393 (-1.4%), but Covid took out a layer of about 680 students between FY20's peak (13,073) and FY22 (12,519) that has not returned.1

The FY25 audited results also show a notable one-year shift in compensation: average teacher salary jumped from $78,145 in FY24 to $83,536 in FY25 — a +6.9% single-year increase, well above the prior trend (~1%/yr).1 Over five years this metric had moved only $3,703 (FY19 → FY24); in one year it added another $5,391. That single-year change is large enough to be a real cost-driver going forward.

General Fund cost per pupil, FY15-FY25
Up 43% in ten years. The post-Covid acceleration (FY22 onward) reflects salary CBA progressions, MPSERS rate increases, MESSA premium inflation, the FY25 teacher-salary step, and new SpEd staffing layers — not enrollment growth (enrollment is shrinking).
Source: TSD FY2025 ACFR, Operating Indicators (Statistical Section, p. 78). FY15 data point from the FY2024 ACFR (whose 10-year window ended at FY15). Plante Moran, FY25 audit accepted by board Nov 18, 2025. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR · Nov 19, 2024 — FY2023-24 ACFR.

Total expenditures across all governmental funds grew from $181 million in FY15 to $308 million in FY25 — up $127 million, or 70% over ten years.1 That total is broader than what's usually called "the budget" in board meetings: in FY25 it bundles the General Fund ($193.6M actual) with the Capital Projects Fund ($57.9M, mostly 2023 bond construction draws) and the Nonmajor Governmental Funds ($56.9M — debt service, food service, athletics, community service). When the rest of this analysis discusses "the operating budget" it means the General Fund. The FY24 → FY25 jump in the all-funds total ($269M → $308M) is dominated by bond-funded capital outlay, not operating cost growth; the General Fund moved much less ($191.5M → $193.6M).

The General Fund itself grew from $185.0M in FY22 to $193.6M in FY25, the period when the post-Covid Edustaff buildup, MESSA premium inflation, the MPSERS UAAL stabilization rate true-up, and the FY25 teacher-salary step all landed in sequence.1

Sources for this section
  1. TSD Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, fiscal year ended June 30, 2025 (audited by Plante Moran, PLLC; accepted by the Board Nov 18, 2025). Statistical Section: Operating Indicators (p. 78) — cost per pupil, revenue per pupil, enrollment, teaching staff, average teacher salary by year for FY16-FY25. Changes in Fund Balances - Governmental Funds (pp. 64-65) — 10-year revenue/expenditure totals: FY24 $269.0M, FY25 $308.4M total expenditures (with the FY24→FY25 jump driven by bond-funded capital outlay). The FY15 data points (enrollment 12,563; cost/pupil $10,924; total expenditures $181M) come from the prior year FY2024 ACFR, since the FY25 ACFR's ten-year window starts at FY16. The FY25 ACFR also slightly restated FY24 figures: enrollment 12,447 → 12,436, cost/pupil $15,383 → $15,398, rev/pupil $15,666 → $15,680. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR · Nov 19, 2024 — FY2023-24 ACFR.
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3. Special Education is a $9M-per-year general fund subsidy

The single most consequential line in TSD's budget that very few residents know about: the General Fund subsidizes Special Education by about $9 million a year, and that subsidy has grown $2.7M since FY21.1

Per the Special Education Update presented to the board on October 7, 2025, TSD now spends $34.0M annually on special education programs and services — for 1,367 students with IEPs.1 State and federal sources (the 51c foundation, PA-18 county millage, IDEA flow-through, and Medicaid reimbursement) cover only $25.0M of that.1 The remaining $9.0M comes from operating dollars that would otherwise go to general instruction.1

Special Education revenue vs. expenditures, FY21-FY25
The gap is the General Fund subsidy. SpEd expenditures grew $8.4M (+33%) in four years; reimbursement-source revenue grew only $5.7M.
Source: TSD Special Education Department Update, October 7, 2025 (board workshop deck slides 13-15, "Five-Year Special Education Funding History"). Oct 7, 2025 — Special Education Department Update.

TSD is not unusual in this. According to a state-commissioned report released in October 2025, Michigan reimburses only 28.6% of district SpEd costs — among the lowest rates in the country.2 Every Michigan district fills the gap from its operating budget. The proposed fix is a six-year transition to a tiered-funding system at an estimated cost of $4.55 billion statewide.2 Until that passes, the $9M annual subsidy in Troy is a feature of the system, not an anomaly.

"The district has the desire and ability to serve students with severe needs in-district with its broad range of supports and services… very few students are required to attend out of district programs." — New Solutions K12 (Levenson) special-education review, December 2023, Commendation #53

That December 2023 outside review — commissioned by TSD and authored by Nathan Levenson's firm New Solutions K12 — actually recommended fewer paraprofessionals over time, achieved through "natural attrition."3 The check register tells the opposite story: the district has added approximately 100 contracted Health Care Aides since FY22, sourced through Edustaff.3 The trajectory of those costs is the next chart.

Sources for this section
  1. Special Education Department Update, Troy School District Board of Education Workshop, October 7, 2025. 16-slide deck presented by the SpEd leadership team. Slides 13-15 contain the five-year Special Education Funding History showing total revenue, expenditures by category, and the General Fund subsidy (FY21-FY25). Oct 7, 2025 — Special Education Department Update.
  2. "Report calls for overhaul of Michigan special education funding system", Chalkbeat Detroit, October 30, 2025. Coverage of a state-commissioned report (Michigan Legislature, 2024) finding that Michigan reimburses only 28.6% of district SpEd costs — among the lowest rates in the country. Proposes tiered funding ($11K low-needs / $39K intensive) plus an 80% reimbursement above $57,615/student threshold, phased over six years at $4.55B. Read article.
  3. "Improving Outcomes and Equity for Students with Disabilities and Other Students who Struggle" — Troy School District. New Solutions K12 (Nathan Levenson, principal), December 2023. 32-page review based on 130+ stakeholder interviews. Page 11 notes the district "currently spends over two million dollars on student support aides… plus 100 contracted full-time paraprofessionals" and explicitly recommends reducing this through attrition: "fewer paraprofessionals or student support aides will be needed." Dec 8, 2023 — Improving Outcomes and Equity for Students with Disabilities and Other Students who Struggle.
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4. The HCA buildup: a Special Ed staffing layer that kept growing after Levenson recommended otherwise

Section 3 introduced the General Fund subsidy to Special Education. The single largest new line within that program is the contracted Health Care Aide (HCA) layer — third-party staff supplied through Edustaff, billed against object code 3116 in TSD's accounting system. From FY22 to FY26, this single line grew from effectively zero to $2.74M per year.1

Special-Ed-coded Edustaff spending, FY22-FY26 (year-to-date)
Bars stack two components: contracted Health Care Aides (HCAs — object code 3116) and substitute / instructional services (codes 3110-3115). The Levenson / New Solutions K12 review was delivered to the district in December 2023 — between the FY23 and FY24 bars. It recommended a reduction in paraprofessional staffing through natural attrition.
Source: Special Ed Edustaff Historical Costs.xlsx (658 GL-level rows; sheet Sheet1, columns Year/Budget Unit/Account/Title/YTD Expenses). Provided by Dan Trudel, CPA, Assistant Superintendent of Business Services. Aggregated by fiscal year on object code 3116 (HCA) vs. 3110-3115 (subs/instruction). Source xlsx.
$1,5861
Total HCA spending in FY22 — the program was effectively non-existent
$2.57M1
HCA spending in FY24, the year Levenson recommended reduction
$2.74M1
HCA spending in FY25 — slightly higher again the year after

The chronology

FY22 (July 2021 - June 2022). The HCA program was effectively non-existent — total Edustaff HCA charges of $1,586 for the year.1

FY23 (July 2022 - June 2023). HCA spending jumped to $1.33M as the contracted-aide model was implemented at scale, distributed across approximately a dozen distinct GL lines (ASD, AI, EI, ESY, MICI, MOCI, etc.).1

December 2023 (mid-FY24). Nathan Levenson's firm, New Solutions K12, delivered the report "Improving Outcomes and Equity for Students with Disabilities and Other Students who Struggle" — a 32-page review based on 130+ stakeholder interviews and commissioned by the district itself. Page 11 explicitly recommended that the paraprofessional layer should shrink over time: "fewer paraprofessionals or student support aides will be needed," achieved through natural attrition rather than layoffs.2

FY24 (the year Levenson delivered). HCA spending grew to $2.57M — up another $1.24M over FY23, in the same year the recommendation was received.1

FY25 (July 2024 - June 2025). HCA spending reached $2.74M, a further $170K increase.1

FY26 (in progress). Year-to-date HCA spending of $1.94M as of the source file's generation (approximately mid-FY26). The full-year figure will not be available until the FY26 ACFR.1

Reading the data fairly

Two important caveats:

  1. This chart shows only the SpEd-coded portion of Edustaff invoices. Full Edustaff disbursements (all purposes — substitute teachers, general staffing, etc.) totaled approximately $5.0M in FY25 per the check register; about $3.0M of that was SpEd-coded.3 The remaining ~$2M was non-SpEd staffing.
  2. Levenson recommended reduction via attrition. An emergency draw-down is harder: IEPs commit the district to specific staffing levels for specific students. The defensible read is that district leadership did not view the attrition path as compatible with then-current student needs. That can be a legitimate professional judgment — but it should be a discussed and documented one. No board presentation or written response to the Levenson HCA recommendation has been located in BoardDocs.

Normalized against IEP enrollment (the FY25 figure of 1,367 students with IEPs from Section 3), the HCA layer alone runs about $2,000 per IEP student per year.1 That is on top of the in-house aide layer, the teacher cost, and the other SpEd program costs that together produce the $9M general-fund subsidy described in Section 3.

Sources for this section
  1. Special Ed Edustaff Historical Costs xlsx (658 GL-level rows; sheet Sheet1, columns Year / Budget Unit / Account / Title / YTD Expenses). Provided by Dan Trudel, CPA, Assistant Superintendent of Business Services. Aggregated by fiscal year and object code: 3116 = HCA, 3110-3115 = substitute / instructional services. Year-by-year HCA totals: FY22 $1,586; FY23 $1,332,127; FY24 $2,572,242; FY25 $2,741,165; FY26 YTD $1,944,810. Non-HCA SpEd Edustaff totals: FY22 $0.26M; FY23 $0.21M; FY24 $0.41M; FY25 $0.24M; FY26 YTD $0.16M. The FY26 figure is partial — the xlsx was generated approximately mid-FY26. Source xlsx.
  2. "Improving Outcomes and Equity for Students with Disabilities and Other Students who Struggle" — Troy School District. New Solutions K12 (Nathan Levenson, principal), December 2023. 32-page review based on 130+ stakeholder interviews. Page 11 ("Right-Sizing the Para Layer") explicitly recommends reducing paraprofessionals through natural attrition: "fewer paraprofessionals or student support aides will be needed." Dec 8, 2023 — Improving Outcomes and Equity for Students with Disabilities and Other Students who Struggle.
  3. TSD check register reconciliation, FY11-FY26. Total Edustaff disbursements (all purposes — substitute teachers, general staffing, contracted SpEd aides) in FY25 ≈ $5.0M. SpEd-coded slice (Sections 4 chart) ≈ $3.0M. Remaining ~$2M is general staffing / substitute teachers, distinct from the HCA buildup story. tsd-checkregister repo.
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5. The cost-growth ranking

One way to understand the deficit is to ask which categories of district spending have grown faster than others. Over the seven years from FY18 (the proper pre-Covid baseline) to FY25 (the most recent audited year), four categories stand out — and the FY25 audit adds two important nuances to the FY24 picture: an OPEB actuarial recovery that lowered required retiree-healthcare contributions sharply, and a one-time MPSERS rate step-down.

Growth of three cost categories vs. salaries, FY18-FY25
Retiree benefits peaked in FY23 then stepped down (MPSERS rate eased and OPEB recovered sharply in FY25). Outsourced services and MESSA continued to climb. Covered payroll grew steadily — with a sharper jump in FY25 reflecting the average-teacher-salary step.
Sources: MPSERS and OPEB contributions from the FY25 ACFR Schedule of Pension Contributions (p. 43) and Schedule of OPEB Contributions (p. 45) — RSI section. MESSA and outsourced-services figures from check register reconciliation (vendor totals through FY25). Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.

Retiree benefits (MPSERS pension + OPEB retiree healthcare) added the most absolute dollars at the FY23-FY24 peak — about $16-21M per year above the FY18 baseline — but the FY25 audit shows a meaningful recession: combined retiree benefits ran $40.3M in FY25, down from $43.9M in FY24 and $48.8M peak in FY23.1 MPSERS alone grew from 30.3% of payroll in FY18 to 41.4% in FY24, then eased to 40.4% in FY25.1 Most of the MPSERS dollars are now state pass-through under Section 147c, but they inflate the expense base regardless. OPEB recognized a one-time accounting recovery in FY25 (statutorily required contribution dropped from $7.26M to $2.77M) as actuarial assumptions revalued the obligation favorably — a real cash-flow easement but largely non-recurring.1

Active employee health insurance (MESSA) added $4.6M FY18→FY25, growing at about 5.1% per year compounded over seven years — and there is no near-term sign of decline; healthcare inflation continues.2

Outsourced services (the combination of Edustaff contract staffing, DM Burr custodial, and First Group transportation) added $4.2M FY18-FY25 and continued growing in FY25 — though if you start the clock at the FY19 vendor-consolidation trough rather than FY18, outsourcing grew at 12.1% CAGR through FY25.2 The choice of baseline matters; both views are honest.

Salaries (covered payroll) grew from $73.15M in FY18 to $92.92M in FY25 — a 3.5% CAGR over seven years.1 What changed in FY25 is the per-person figure: average teacher salary went from $74,442 (FY19) to $78,145 (FY24) — about 5% over five years, well under inflation — then jumped to $83,536 in FY25, a single-year +6.9% increase.1 The "teacher pay is breaking the budget" framing was not supported by the FY18-FY24 data, but the FY25 step is large enough to change the trajectory going forward.

+$12.6M1
Retiree benefits added per year (FY18→FY25, post-OPEB recovery)
+$4.6M2
Active health insurance added FY18→FY25
+$4.2M2
Outsourced services added FY18→FY25
+$19.8M1
Salaries — covered payroll grew FY18→FY25 (+27%)
Sources for this section
  1. TSD FY25 ACFR — Required Supplementary Information. Schedule of Pension Contributions (p. 43) — ten-year MPSERS history (FY16 $16.3M / 22.8% → FY24 $36.6M / 41.4% → FY25 $37.5M / 40.4%; peak FY23 48.6%). FY25 includes a one-time $2.1M Section 147c(2) state-funded contribution per the RSI notes. Schedule of OPEB Contributions (p. 45) — eight-year history (FY18 $5.5M / 7.5% → FY24 $7.3M / 8.2% → FY25 $2.8M / 3.0% — the FY25 contraction reflects an OPEB actuarial revaluation that turned the prior-year liability into a net asset, recognized as a $13.2M OPEB recovery on the FY25 statement of activities). Operating Indicators (p. 78) — covered payroll $73.15M (FY18) → $92.92M (FY25); average teacher salary $74,442 (FY19) → $78,145 (FY24) → $83,536 (FY25, +6.9% single-year step). Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.
  2. TSD check register reconciliation, FY11-FY26. 224,267 disbursement line items / $1.23 billion total. MESSA payments aggregated by vendor and FY (Fund 101 + other operating funds). Outsourced services = sum of contract-staffing vendors (Edustaff, Professional Ed Services, Educational Staffin, Temporary School ST, Safe Ed) + DM Burr Facilities + First Group America. Source dataset is a sibling project parsed from BoardDocs Treasurer's Reports. tsd-checkregister repo.
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6. The ESSER cliff: a $40M cushion that ran out

Between FY20 and FY24, the federal government sent Troy School District a one-time stream of pandemic-relief money — the Elementary and Secondary School Emergency Relief (ESSER) fund. Total federal revenue ran $15M to $21M per year during the peak ESSER years, well above the ~$6.5M pre-pandemic baseline.1 Stacked end-to-end, that's about $40M of one-time money above the long-run trend.1

ESSER was allowed to fund "extended learning," staff, materials, and facilities. Districts had until September 30, 2024 to obligate ESSER III dollars. The FY25 ACFR shows federal revenue settled to $8.7M — about $2M above the pre-pandemic $6.5M baseline, reflecting tail-end ESSER III draws and ongoing non-ESSER federal grants, but well off the peak. The cliff is real. Any positions or programs ESSER had been paying for either ended, or transferred to the operating budget.

Federal revenue trajectory, FY18-FY25
A ~$6.5M/year baseline grew to a $21.1M peak in FY22 (ESSER II + III combined), then stepped back down — to $12.6M in FY24 and $8.7M in FY25, still slightly above the pre-pandemic line. The dashed line is the baseline; everything above is one-time pandemic money plus modest other federal grants.
Source: TSD FY25 ACFR — Statement of Revenue, Expenditures and Changes in Fund Balances — Governmental Funds (statistical section, federal revenue line FY16-FY25). Schedule of Expenditures of Federal Awards (single audit section) breaks ESSER I/II/III by CFDA. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.
$21.1M1
FY22 federal revenue peak (ESSER II + III)
~$40M1
Cumulative one-time ESSER cushion above baseline, FY20-FY24
Sept 30, 20241
ESSER III obligation deadline — the cliff edge

What did ESSER actually fund? The popular framing — "ESSER hired a layer of staff that's now stuck on the operating budget" — does not hold up well against the audited Instruction FTE series. The count was already climbing pre-Covid (840 in FY18 → 887 in FY19 → 925 in FY20); the FY20 peak occurred when only ~$0.3M of ESSER had been deployed.1 During the biggest ESSER years (FY21-FY24), Instruction FTE was actually below that FY20 peak — FY21 dropped 63 positions to 862 (pandemic attrition, not ESSER hiring), then partially recovered to 879 by FY24 and 869 in FY25. Net positions still on the books above the FY18 pre-Covid baseline: +29 in FY25, not +85.1

Federal program rules allowed ESSER dollars to fund a wide mix: staff and programs, materials, technology, summer/extended learning, mental-health supports, HVAC and facility work, assessments. Single audits report ESSER expenditures by federal CFDA program code, not by position. We cannot, from public records, claim the $40M cushion specifically funded a staffing layer. What we know with certainty is that the FY20-FY24 period saw both the temporary federal cushion and the structural cost increases that the FY26 budget now has to absorb without that cushion.

The pattern is a familiar one in school finance: temporary federal aid gets absorbed into recurring commitments — staff, programs, contracts — faster than those commitments can be unwound when the aid ends. Reconciling that gap, position by position and line by line, is the substance of the FY26 budget conversation now in front of the board.

Sources for this section
  1. TSD FY25 ACFR (with FY15-FY19 anchor from prior-year FY24 ACFR). The Statement of Revenue, Expenditures, and Changes in Fund Balances — Governmental Funds (statistical section) reports federal revenue by year. The Schedule of Expenditures of Federal Awards (single audit) itemizes ESSER I (CFDA 84.425D), ESSER II (84.425D), and ESSER III (84.425U) draws by year. Federal revenue figures: FY18 $6.7M, FY19 $6.5M, FY20 $6.8M, FY21 $15.5M, FY22 $21.1M, FY23 $16.8M, FY24 $12.6M, FY25 $8.7M (audited per FY25 ACFR). Cumulative FY20-FY24 federal revenue above the ~$6.5M pre-pandemic baseline ≈ $40M. Instruction FTE figures from FY25 ACFR Full-Time Equivalent table (p. 77), ten-year series FY16-FY25: 825, 848, 840, 887, 925, 862, 891, 882, 879, 869 (with FY15 = 787 from FY24 ACFR). Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR · Nov 19, 2024 — FY2023-24 ACFR (for FY15 anchor).
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7. MPSERS: the largest expense the district doesn't really control

Michigan's Public School Employees Retirement System (MPSERS) is the second-largest cost line in TSD's general fund — $37.5M in the FY25 audit and roughly $29.3M in the FY26 projection.1 The contribution rate is set in Lansing, not Troy. As a share of covered payroll it grew from 17.6% in FY15 to a peak of 48.6% in FY23, then eased to 41.4% in FY24 and 40.4% in FY25.1 Roughly $2.1M of the FY25 figure was a one-time Section 147c(2) contribution funded by the state and remitted directly to the System.1

MPSERS employer contribution, FY18-FY25
Dollars on the left axis (bars), contribution as a percentage of covered payroll on the right (line). The FY23 spike was a UAAL stabilization-rate one-time true-up. The rate has eased FY24-FY25, but most of the dollar amount is now funded directly by the state via Section 147c — visible on both the revenue and expense sides of TSD's books.
Source: TSD FY25 ACFR, Schedule of Pension Contributions (Required Supplementary Information, p. 43). Plante Moran, audit accepted by Board Nov 18, 2025. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.

The "pass-through" twist

Starting in FY22, Michigan shifted the funding of MPSERS UAAL (unfunded actuarial accrued liability) toward direct state payment via Section 147c of the State School Aid Act. The dollars still show up on TSD's books — but they also show up as revenue, dollar-for-dollar.2

Per the FY25 ACFR Management's Discussion and Analysis: in FY25 the district's actual pension contributions included "an allocation of $9,297,729 in revenue received from the State of Michigan and remitted to the System to fund the MPSERS unfunded actuarial accrued liability (UAAL) stabilization rate" plus the $2,113,411 one-time Section 147c(2) contribution.2 That's about $11.4M of pass-through revenue in FY25, all routed specifically to absorb pension expense. Revenue-neutral, expense-inflating.

The implication: when board materials show revenue growth into FY25, a substantial slice of it is MPSERS pass-through, perfectly matched by corresponding expense growth. The free operating revenue — money the district can actually choose how to spend — grew much less.2

Sources for this section
  1. TSD FY25 ACFR — Schedule of Pension Contributions (Required Supplementary Information, p. 43). Ten-year history of statutorily required MPSERS contributions and contributions as a percentage of covered payroll. Key data points: FY16 $16.3M / 22.8%, FY18 $22.1M / 30.3%, FY23 peak $41.9M / 48.6%, FY24 $36.6M / 41.4%, FY25 $37.5M / 40.4%. The FY15 anchor ($12.5M / 17.6%) is from the prior-year FY24 ACFR. RSI notes confirm FY25 includes a one-time $2.1M Section 147c(2) state-funded contribution. The FY26 General Fund 4-Year Projection (Feb 2026) carries an MPSERS line of roughly $29.3M. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.
  2. TSD FY25 ACFR — Management's Discussion and Analysis + Note 13 (MPSERS). The note states the district's "required and actual pension contributions include an allocation of $9,297,729 in revenue received from the State of Michigan and remitted to the System to fund the MPSERS unfunded actuarial accrued liability (UAAL) stabilization rate as well as $2,113,411 of a one-time state payment received and remitted to the System for the purpose of contributing additional assets to the system." Combined, that's approximately $11.4M of state pass-through revenue in FY25 (about $920 per pupil) specifically routed to absorb MPSERS expense. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR (MD&A and Note 13).
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8. Where the vendor money went: six lines added $14.3M in six years

The check register lets us watch non-payroll spending vendor-by-vendor. Comparing FY19 to FY25, just six vendors account for +$14.3M of recurring annual cost growth.1 That's roughly two-thirds of the total non-payroll cost growth in the operating budget over the same period.

Top vendor spend, FY19 vs FY25 (operating funds)
MESSA (active employee health insurance) and Edustaff (contract SpEd Health Care Aides) were the two largest adds. Two vendors — Sec Shield and MASB-SEG — were essentially net-new line items.
Source: TSD check register reconciliation FY11-FY26 (224,267 line items, $1.227B in disbursements), aggregated by canonical vendor name and fiscal year. tsd-checkregister repo.

The pattern is mixed-cause:

  • MESSA (+$4.6M): structural healthcare inflation — 5.9% CAGR for six years on this FY19-FY25 vendor-total basis (Section 5 reports the slightly higher 7.3% CAGR measured on the FY18-FY24 ACFR-aligned baseline; both are correct for their respective windows).1
  • Edustaff (+$4.3M): the SpEd Health Care Aide buildup. Net-new layer; ~$0.6M in FY19 → $5.0M in FY25. Tied to the in-house decision to support medically-complex students locally rather than placing them out-of-district.2
  • DM Burr (+$2.7M): custodial services contract that originated FY17-FY19 when TSD outsourced facilities. Scope grew with the building footprint and rates were likely renegotiated; no board presentation found documenting the change.
  • First Group America (+$1.1M): transportation outsourcing, fuel + labor inflation.
  • Sec Shield (+$0.8M): net-new — district security services line that didn't exist in FY19.
  • MASB-SEG (+$0.8M): property/liability insurance through the MASB risk pool — possibly migrated from a different carrier line.

Note what's not in this list: there is no "we spent too much on technology" line, no consulting feast. The vendor growth is concentrated in healthcare insurance, contracted SpEd staffing, and managed-services outsourcing — three things that are individually defensible and collectively heavy.

Sources for this section
  1. TSD check register reconciliation, FY11-FY26. 224,267 disbursement line items totaling $1.227B. Vendor totals per fiscal year aggregated by canonical vendor name (after deduplication of variant spellings). MESSA, Edustaff (plus the related contract-staffing vendors), DM Burr Facilities, First Group America, Sec Shield LLC, and MASB-SEG identified as distinct vendor lines. Source dataset is the sibling tsd-checkregister project parsed from BoardDocs Treasurer's Reports. tsd-checkregister repo.
  2. Special Ed Edustaff Historical Costs xlsx (658 rows). General-ledger-level detail provided by Dan Trudel, CPA, Assistant Superintendent of Business Services. Itemizes year-by-year Edustaff invoices charged to special-education function codes, supporting the FY19 → FY25 trajectory and the +$4.3M annual growth figure.
· · ·

9. The per-pupil squeeze: enrollment falls but the school doesn't shrink

Michigan funds school operations on a per-pupil basis. The state-set foundation allowance — roughly $10,836 per pupil in FY262 — is multiplied by enrollment to produce the bulk of TSD's revenue. Lose a student, lose a foundation. Gain a student, gain a foundation.

Between the FY20 enrollment peak of 13,073 and FY25's 12,393, TSD lost 680 students net — roughly 5.2% of its enrollment base, and about $7.4M of annual foundation-allowance revenue.1 The students did not all leave Troy. The city's population grew +5.5% from FY15 to FY24 (83,496 → 88,051). The school-enrolled share of the population dropped from 15.0% to 14.1% — Troy is aging, and a higher share of school-age children are enrolling outside TSD (private schools, charters, school-of-choice).1

But the buildings stayed open. The teaching staff barely changed. The MPSERS rate didn't fall. Healthcare premiums kept rising. When the same cost base is divided across fewer students, per-pupil cost goes up by arithmetic. Cost per pupil rose from $10,924 in FY15 to $15,624 in FY25 — up $4,700 per student, or 43%, in ten years.1 And the FY25 audit surfaces a notable new wrinkle: revenue per pupil dropped year-over-year for the first time since the FY18-FY19 baseline period, from $15,680 (FY24) to $15,377 (FY25). For the first time in the modern data, audited rev/pupil was lower than audited cost/pupil ($247 below).1

Enrollment vs operating cost per pupil, FY15-FY25
Bars: total enrollment, left axis. Line: General Fund operating cost per pupil, right axis. The two move in opposite directions — fewer students sharing a roughly fixed cost base mean each student's slice is larger every year.
Source: TSD FY25 ACFR — Operating Indicators (Statistical Section, p. 78). FY15 anchor from prior-year FY24 ACFR. Plante Moran, FY25 audit accepted Nov 18, 2025. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.
-6801
Students lost net from the FY20 enrollment peak to FY25
~$7.4M2
Annual foundation-allowance revenue not coming in vs the FY20 baseline
+$4,7001
Operating cost per pupil growth, FY15 → FY25 (+43%)
State foundation allowance per pupil vs operating cost per pupil, FY15-FY25
The state's per-pupil contribution (the orange line) grew $1,509 over ten years — and was held flat between FY24 and FY25 at $10,394. TSD's operating cost per pupil (the blue line) grew $4,700 over the same span. The shaded area between is the gap that everything else has to fill — local Hold Harmless millage, county PA-18, IDEA flow-through, Medicaid reimbursement, and (in FY20-FY24) one-time federal ESSER aid.
Sources: TSD per-pupil foundation allowance pulled from the June 15, 2021 Board Meeting Budget Presentation (10-year history slide, FY11-FY22 series), the June 6, 2024 Board Workshop Budget Presentation (Foundation Allowance History slide, FY20-FY25 projections), and the Feb 2026 4-Year Forecast xlsx (FY25 audited = $10,394, held flat from FY24). FY26 amended computed from the January 13, 2026 Board Budget Planning Workshop deck ($130,788,472 amended foundation revenue ÷ 12,069.81 amended enrollment = $10,836). Operating cost per pupil from FY25 ACFR Statistical Section (p. 78). June 6, 2024 deck · June 15, 2021 deck.
+$1,5094
State foundation allowance growth per pupil, FY15 → FY25 (+17%) — flat FY24→FY25
+$4,7001
Operating cost growth per pupil, FY15 → FY25 (+43%)
+$3,1914
The per-pupil gap that local revenue + categoricals + ESSER had to fill, FY15 → FY25

Read by sub-period, the state's per-pupil contribution moved very slowly through the pre-Covid years. Foundation allowance grew only $310 from FY15 to FY19 — about 0.9% per year, below general inflation.4 Acceleration came later: +$1,199 from FY19 to FY24 (about 2.5%/year, partly Covid-era state aid increases). Then the state held the allowance flat in FY25 at $10,394 — the per-pupil contribution did not increase at all year-over-year — before the FY26 amended figure stepped up to $10,836.4 Even with the FY19-FY24 acceleration, foundation growth has trailed per-pupil cost growth in every period.

Why per-pupil revenue can't simply rise to match per-pupil cost

Reading Section 2's chart, both per-pupil cost and per-pupil revenue appear to grow at roughly the same rate. That picture is misleading: a meaningful share of the per-pupil revenue growth is one-time and pass-through money the board cannot redirect or repeat:

  • ~$40M of ESSER (FY20-FY24) — federal one-time pandemic aid, mostly cliffed off (FY25 federal revenue settled to $8.7M, still ~$2M above the pre-pandemic baseline). See Section 6.
  • ~$11.4M of MPSERS Section 147c pass-through in FY25 — state revenue routed specifically to absorb pension UAAL expense and a one-time 147c(2) contribution; revenue-neutral. See Section 7.

Strip those two layers out and the free per-pupil revenue — the dollars the board can actually direct — has lagged per-pupil cost growth materially. That gap, multiplied by enrollment, is the structural deficit.3

And local property taxes can't close it

A natural question: Troy property values grew enormously — $3.49B in FY15 to $6.19B in FY24, up 78%.1 Doesn't all that new tax base feed the schools? Under Michigan's Proposal A framework (passed by voters in 1994), school operating revenue is decoupled from the local property tax base. Three constraints lock TSD in:

  1. The 18-mill non-homestead is at the constitutional cap. School districts can levy 18 mills on non-homestead property (businesses, second homes, rentals). TSD is already at 18. There is no headroom.1
  2. The Headlee Amendment rolls back the rate as values grow. When taxable values rise faster than inflation, the operating millage rate is rolled back automatically. TSD's "Hold Harmless" mill (the supplemental mill districts can levy on homesteads above the foundation allowance) fell from 4.88 mills in FY19 to 2.78 mills in FY23 — losing roughly $8M/year of capacity to Headlee.1
  3. The foundation allowance is set in Lansing. The state sets a per-pupil foundation amount; local non-homestead revenue counts against the state's share. If local property tax revenue rises, the state's share falls — net to the district, nothing changes.

The practical result: TSD's operating millage and foundation allowance can only move when the state legislature acts. The board cannot vote itself more operating revenue. It can put bond questions for capital projects to voters (Troy did, and they passed) — but bond proceeds cannot be spent on operating expenses.

The compound problem in one line: revenue capacity scales with enrollment, but cost capacity barely scales at all. Lose enrollment, lose revenue; cost stays. The squeeze is mechanical, not the result of any one decision.

Sources for this section
  1. TSD FY25 ACFR — Statistical Section. Operating Indicators (p. 78) — enrollment by FY, operating cost per pupil, revenue per pupil, average teacher salary. Enrollment trajectory: FY16 12,731 → FY20 13,073 (peak) → FY25 12,393. Operating cost per pupil: FY16 $11,016 → FY24 $15,398 → FY25 $15,624. Revenue per pupil: FY24 $15,680 → FY25 $15,377 (first year-over-year decline since FY18-FY19). FY15 anchor data points (enrollment 12,563; cost/pupil $10,924) from the prior-year FY24 ACFR. Schedule of Taxable Property Values — total taxable value FY15 $3.49B → FY24 $6.19B (+78%). Demographic and Operating Statistics — population 83,496 (FY15) → 88,051 (FY24); enrollment-to-population ratio 15.0% → 14.1%. Hold Harmless mill detail (4.88 → 2.78) per board Headlee rollback fact-sheet. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR · Nov 19, 2024 — FY2023-24 ACFR (for FY15 data point).
  2. FY26 General Fund 4-Year Projection (Feb 2026) carries an FY26 foundation allowance of approximately $10,836 per pupil (amended). Multiplying the 680-student FY20→FY25 enrollment decline by ~$10,836 yields roughly $7.4M of annualized foundation-allowance revenue not coming in vs the FY20 peak — recognizing that the exact per-year foundation amount differed from $10,836 across FY20-FY25, so this figure is illustrative within ±$1M.
  3. Decomposition of per-pupil revenue growth. Drawn from the FY25 ACFR Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, and Changes in Fund Balance (federal revenue line — ESSER component cliff visible in FY25's $8.65M total federal revenue, ~$2M above pre-pandemic baseline) and Schedule of Pension Contributions / Note 13 (MPSERS pass-through of $9.3M Section 147c + $2.1M one-time Section 147c(2) = $11.4M in FY25, per the MD&A). Detailed in Section 6 (ESSER) and Section 7 (MPSERS pass-through). Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR (MD&A and statistical section).
  4. TSD foundation allowance per pupil, FY15-FY26. Trajectory: FY15 $8,885 · FY16 $8,955 · FY17 $8,964 · FY18 $9,075 · FY19 $9,195 · FY20 $9,315 · FY21 $9,315 · FY22 $9,430 · FY23 $9,874 · FY24 $10,394 · FY25 $10,394 · FY26 amended $10,836. Pre-FY22 figures from the June 15, 2021 Board Meeting Budget Presentation (10-year history slide showing FY11-FY22). FY20-FY24 confirmed in the June 6, 2024 Board Workshop Budget Presentation (Foundation Allowance History slide); note that deck showed FY25 as a $10,635 projection — the audited FY25 actual was held flat at $10,394 per the February 2026 4-Year General Fund Forecast (xlsx, row 5, "24-25 Audit" column). FY26 amended computed directly from the January 13, 2026 Board Budget Planning Workshop deck (amended foundation revenue $130,788,472 ÷ amended enrollment 12,069.81 = $10,836). Both pptx chart slides extracted from embedded chart XML; FY25 actual and FY26 figure derived arithmetically from the corresponding budget-revision schedules. June 6, 2024 budget presentation · June 15, 2021 budget presentation · Jan 13, 2026 budget planning.
· · ·

10. Putting it together — and what's still unknown

Troy School District's structural deficit is not the result of any single decision or bad actor. It is the compounding of four things happening at once:

  1. Healthcare inflation on a major cost line (MESSA +$4.6M; OPEB retiree healthcare adding roughly $1M/year on top).
  2. State-set MPSERS rate increases that inflated the expense base — now mostly funded by an equally-large state revenue line, but with no flexibility on the underlying cost.
  3. A Special Education staffing buildup — locally-supported students with intensive needs are good for kids but expensive for districts, and Michigan reimburses only 28.6% of the cost.
  4. The ESSER cliff — four years of one-time federal money that paid for some of the FY20-FY24 growth but is now gone.

Rough order of magnitude, FY19 → FY25

DriverApprox incremental annual costComment
MPSERS pension expense~$15-20MMostly state pass-through; visible on expense, offset on revenue
Healthcare (MESSA + BCBS)~$5MActive employee insurance, structural inflation
Salary inflation (CBA + step)~$5M~3% CAGR; average teacher salary +5% over five years
SpEd non-payroll (HCAs, etc.)~$4M$0 → $5M Edustaff line, partly offset by reduced sub usage
Outsourced services~$5MDM Burr + First Group + Sec Shield + MASB-SEG combined
Other operating~$4MSupplies, utilities, materials inflation
Total expense growth~$38M

Revenue grew roughly $32M over the same period. But ~$15-20M is MPSERS pass-through (revenue and expense both up, by the same amount), and an additional ~$5M was ESSER pulled forward (one-time). The net "free" operating revenue growth — money the board could actually choose how to spend — was perhaps $12-15M.1 Free expense growth outran free revenue growth by roughly $20M. That gap is the structural deficit.

What changed — and what didn't

Changed: Support Services FTE collapsed from 276 to 175 over nine years as facilities and transportation were outsourced. The SpEd staffing model added ~100 contracted Health Care Aides on top of in-house aides. Instruction FTE has run roughly +29 above the FY18 pre-Covid baseline in FY25 (840 → 869), with a FY20 peak of 925 and a Covid-era FY21 dip to 862; ESSER may have supported some of the FY22-FY24 partial recovery, but the audited series does not show ESSER funding a clean new staffing layer.1

Did not change much: total FTE is roughly flat (1,072 in FY15 → 1,072 in FY25, with FY16-FY18 swings in between); average teacher salary grew at roughly half the rate of inflation through FY24 before the FY25 +6.9% step; operating millage is at the constitutional cap; foundation allowance grew at statewide inflation and was held flat between FY24 and FY25. This is a composition story — different mix of staff, more contracted services, more benefit cost — not an "everybody got rich" story.

Open questions

A few things this analysis cannot answer from public records, and would benefit from board or administration clarification:

  1. The Levenson presentation slide deck — the full 130-stakeholder-interview review was published as a 32-page report (linked in Section 3 sources). The slide deck used to present it to the board does not appear on BoardDocs as a public agenda item. Was it ever publicly presented as slides?
  2. DM Burr scope expansion ($3.2M → $5.8M) — was this scope growth (new buildings, more services), rate inflation (renegotiated contract), or both? No board presentation documenting the change was found.
  3. ESSER spending mapped to specific positions — Single audits report ESSER expenditures by program, not by position. Which positions were ESSER-funded, and which transitioned to baseline? A position-control crosswalk would resolve this.
  4. The composition of the $24.2M cumulative cuts plan — the category totals (Salaries $13.25M, Benefits $6.625M, Purchased Services $3.75M, Supplies $0.6M) are public; the specifics (which positions, which programs) are not yet.

The honest summary: the district is structurally short on operating revenue, the largest individual driver is healthcare-and-pension cost inflation it does not control, the second-largest is a deliberate SpEd staffing choice that benefits Troy students but is under-reimbursed by the state, and federal ESSER money that was masking the gap is gone. The cuts conversation now in front of the board is the first one that has to be made without that cushion.

Sources for this section
  1. Synthesis based on Sections 1-9 above. All underlying figures are sourced and cited in the prior sections' source panels. The "$32M revenue growth, ~$15-20M of which is MPSERS pass-through, ~$5M of which is ESSER" decomposition draws from the FY25 ACFR Statement of Revenue, Expenditures and Changes in Fund Balances — Governmental Funds, the Schedule of Pension Contributions (RSI — confirming $11.4M of FY25 MPSERS dollars are Section 147c pass-through), and the Schedule of Expenditures of Federal Awards (single audit). FY25 also surfaced two non-recurring easements not present in earlier projections: an OPEB actuarial recovery ($7.3M FY24 → $2.8M FY25 contribution requirement) and an MPSERS rate step-down (41.4% → 40.4%). The $24.2M cumulative cuts composition is from the Jan 13, 2026 Board Budget Planning Workshop deck. Nov 11, 2025 — FY2024-25 ACFR.